Learning Objectives:
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Define market risk and its sub-categories.
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Understand Value at Risk (VaR) and its applications.
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Explain interest rate risk management techniques.
6.1 Defining Market Risk
The University of Nottingham’s Treasury section identifies “Risk Management” as a core responsibility, covering “Interest Rate Risk – covering exposure to interest rate movements” and “Exchange Rate Risk – covering exposure to foreign exchange rate movements” .
The mid-office is responsible for:
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Calculating and reporting VaR .
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Stress testing and back testing of investment and trading portfolios .
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Risk-return analysis .
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Marking open positions to market to assess unrealised gain and losses .
6.2 Value at Risk (VaR)
The ICAI materials define mid-office responsibilities as including “calculating and reporting VaR” . VaR is a statistical measure that estimates the maximum potential loss of a portfolio over a specific time horizon at a given confidence level.
VaR Methodologies:
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Variance-Covariance: Assumes normal distribution of returns.
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Historical Simulation: Uses actual historical returns to simulate possible outcomes.
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Monte Carlo Simulation: Generates random scenarios to estimate potential losses.
6.3 Interest Rate Risk Management
Interest rate risk arises from changes in interest rates that affect earnings and economic value. The mid-office responsibilities include:
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“Evolving hedging strategies for assets and liabilities” .
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“Interacting with the bank’s Risk Management Department on liquidity and market risk” .
Key Management Techniques:
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Gap Analysis: Measuring the difference between interest-rate-sensitive assets and liabilities.
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Duration Analysis: Measuring the price sensitivity of assets and liabilities to interest rate changes.
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Hedging: Using derivatives to manage interest rate exposure.
6.4 Foreign Exchange Risk Management
The ICAI materials note that banks with separate forex operations will have dealers for forex operations . The mid-office is responsible for “Monitoring open currency positions” .
FX Risk Management:
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Transaction Exposure: Risk from future cash flows in foreign currencies.
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Translation Exposure: Risk from balance sheet items denominated in foreign currencies.
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Economic Exposure: Risk to the bank’s competitive position from exchange rate changes.